Abundant precip means low fire potential for July, August and September in Alaska

The Alaska Interagency Coordination Center’s wildland fire forecast for July is for below normal for southern Alaska and normal for northern Alaska. The forecast for August through October is for normal fire potential.
Alaska fire potential outlook
Factors:
 Climate Prediction Center (CPC) outlook maps continue to indicate a high likelihood of warmer than normal temperatures across the all of Alaska this summer and into the fall.
 The precipitation forecasts are pointing to wetter than normal over southern Alaska. Though precipitation forecasts are notoriously poor the forecasts this year of wetter weather seem to be bearing out.
 Periodic precipitation and the lack of extended dry periods has lead to much lower than normal fire activity. Because of the lack of fire across the landscape and expected weather we are expecting lower than normal fire potential for July across central and southern Alaska and normal for the remainder of the state. August and September-October should be normal as that is when fire activity is usually decreasing anyway.
 The forecast for July is for below normal fire potential for central and southern Alaska and normal for the remainder of Alaska and the remainder of the season into October. Despite the warm temperatures expected, there is little fire on the landscape so far and periodic precipitation is keeping indices below normal. For August through October there are no strong indicators for above or below normal fire potential.

About Alaska Division of Forestry

Alaska Division of Forestry website: http://forestry.alaska.gov/ Mission: The Alaska Division of Forestry proudly serves Alaskans through forest management and wildland fire protection. The Wildland Fire and Aviation Program provides safe, cost-effective and efficient fire protection services and related fire and aviation management activities to protect human life and values on State, private and municipal lands. The wildland fire program cooperates with other wildland fire agencies on a statewide, interagency basis.

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